CBB: SWEET 16 TRENDS & TIDBITS

With the NCAA tournament moving into the Sweet 16 round on Thursday, here are some trends you’ll want to use as the field narrows further. Stay tuned throughout the next few days as we take a closer look at each of the games. Get the latest lines and key

2010-03-25

With the NCAA tournament moving into the Sweet 16 round on Thursday, here are some trends you’ll want to use as the field narrows further. Stay tuned throughout the next few days as we take a closer look at each of the games. Get the latest lines and key betting info on the LIVE ODDS and GAME MATCHUPS pages of Sportsbook.com.

Sweet 16 Round

• The Sweet 16 round is typically the end of the run for most “Cinderella” teams. Better seeds & favorites have only lost six of the 32 games in this round over the L4 years. They are 10-6 ATS the last two years.

• Since ‘03 there have been 20 favorites of 5-1/2 points or more in the Sweet 16 round. Those teams are 20-0 SU & 12-7-1 ATS (63%), holding their opponents to just 64.4 PPG while winning by 12.1 PPG.

• #1 seeds are 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in the Sweet 16 round over the last two years. However, they are just 5-5 SU & 2-7-1 (22%) in their L10 of this round when favored by 5-points or less.

• In the last seven games where two teams seeded #6 or worse met in the Sweet 16, the lesser seed is 6-1 SU & ATS (86%).

• Double-digit seeded teams are just 2-10 SU & 4-8 ATS in the Sweet 16 round since ’03.

• Oddsmakers have provided a good blueprint on totals in one sense in the Sweet 16, as in games with posted totals of 128 points or less, UNDER the total is 11-2 (85%) since ’99.

Here are some more Sweet 16 Notes

• #1 Seed favs < 11 pts off BB SUATS wins are 10-2 ATS
• #2 Seeds are 12-5 ATS vs opponents off a SU dog win
• #4 Seed dogs are 2-8 ATS vs foes off BB SUATS wins
• #5 Seeds are 1-4 ATS vs foes off BB SUATS wins
• #6 Seeds off a DD SU win are 2-6 ATS
• #9 or higher seed dogs > 2 pts are 3-10 ATS
• Favorites off a SU win of 30 > pts are 4-0 ATS
• Favorites off BB SU wins of 15 > pts are 10-2 ATS
• Underdogs who scored < 65 pts last game are 7-3 ATS
• Underdogs off BB dog wins are 2-9 ATS
• Underdogs who scored 85 > pts last game are 2-7 ATS

Best Team SU & ATS records in this round

Xavier: 3-0 ATS, Michigan St: 5-1 SU & ATS, Kentucky: 10-2 SU / 9-3 ATS, West Virginia: 3-1 ATS

Worst Team SU & ATS records in this round

Butler: 0-3 SU / 1-2 ATS, Tennessee: 0-3 SU / 1-2 ATS, Washington: 0-3 SU, Duke: 1-5 SU & ATS, Syracuse: 1-4 SU / 0-4-1 ATS, Purdue: 1-3 SU & ATS.

Best Conference ATS records in this round
Atlantic 10: 6-0, SEC: 8-2 as dogs, Big 10: 14-5.

Worst Conference ATS records in this round

Big East: 0-5 as favs < 7 pts, Pac 10: 1-6 as dogs, Big 12: 1-5 as favs 10 < pts, ACC: 3-11 as favs 8 < pts.

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